Model framework for the assessment of EU climatic suitability for the establishment of organisms harmful to plants and plant products – CLIMPEST project (SLA/EFSA-JRC/2008/PLH/01)

Model framework, potential infection model, BioMa, meteorological databases, climate change scenarios
First published in EFSA Supporting Publications
8 agosto 2012
Approved
3 febbraio 2012
Type
External Scientific Report

The present document has been produced and adopted by the bodies identified above as authors. In accordance with Article 36 of Regulation (EC) No 178/2002, this task has been carried out exclusively by the authors in the context of a grant agreement between the European Food Safety Authority and the authors. The present document is published complying with the transparency principle to which the European Food Safety Authority is subject. It may not be considered as an output adopted by EFSA. EFSA reserves its rights, view and position as regards the issues addressed and the conclusions reached in the present document, without prejudice to the rights of the authors.

Abstract

In the frame of the SLA a model framework was developed named ClimPest allowing the assessment of EU climatic suitability for the establishment of organisms harmful to plants and plant products and more specifically to estimate the weather suitability for potential infection by the citrus pathogen Guignardia citricarpa (common name Citrus Black Spot - CBS). The model framework Climpest can be re-used for other plant diseases and pests and it contains the following modelling solutions: ClimIndices (calculation of climatic indexes) and Potential Infection Model (calculation of the potential infections of foliar fungal pathogens on plants). The software has access to a remote database containing historical series of daily weather data with Europe spatial coverage on a 25 x 25 grid. Climate change scenarios for 2020 and 2050 are also made available related to the emission scenarios A1B and B1. The software was designed to be extended autonomously by third parties with diverse modelling solutions, other than the ones provided in this first version.

Contact
plh [at] efsa.europa.eu
doi
10.2903/sp.efsa.2012.EN-247
Question Number
On request from
EFSA